According to theories of motivated reasoning, attempts to persuade political opponents are often counterproductive because they end up strengthening opponents' initial views via directional motivations. Drawing on evidence from 23 randomized survey experiments, Persuasion in Parallel shows that the predicted "backlash" fails to materialize…

Neural networks underlie state-of-the-art algorithms in a large and growing range of applied domains. That they work so well challenges long-held principles in statistics and optimization that have often guided applied work. This talk identifies and discusses several such points of tension between theory and practice and provide some heuristic…

The credibility revolution has promoted the adoption of research designs that permit identification and estimation of causal effects. Understanding which mechanisms drive measured causal effects remains a challenge. A dominant current approach to the quantitative evaluation of mechanisms relies on the detection of heterogeneous treatment…

This supplementary workshop is exclusively for PhD students that took POL 573 last semester. In the training, we will replicate recent APSR and AJPS articles that use GLMs. This will be a hands-on workshop providing you with the replication files and code. The articles that will be used during the workshop aim to have a balance across a variety…